Some Reflections
on
Condominium Hotel Development
Elaine Sahlins
Senior Vice President
HVS International San Francisco
As evidenced in our work
on a number of condominium hotel or condo-hotel projects
in the past few years, the success of a condominium
project is not necessarily dictated by or related
to the success of the underlying hotels performance.
Most condominium projects
are located in established destination resort markets.
In the current economic environment, even with low-cost
and readily available financing, development of a
traditional wholly-owned full-service resort hotel
is unlikely to pencil based on the increasing costs
of construction.
At this point in the
development cycle, it would be a rare project where
the hotel would be successful without a supplementary
source of cash flow from residential, fractional,
or condominium hotel sales.
From a developers
perspective, the same number of units designed in
a condominium hotel project can more than make the
project pencil, they can produce a substantial profit.
To illustrate the potential profitability of a condominium
hotel project, consider the stabilized operating income
statement for a 1 50-room luxury resort shown in Table
1, in the box below.

To convert the forecast
into value, an 8.0% capitalization rate was used.
The net present value of the loss income during ramp
up was then deducted. This procedure indicates the
following value.

Consider the same 50-room
resort sold as condominium units. Assuming that each
guestroom is roundly 600 square feet and sells for
$,250 per square foot, the average sales price is
$750,000 per unit. For branded condo hotel projects,
a number of units are often held by the developer.
The following scenario illustrates the potential value
of the same property as a condominium hotel project
assuming 85% of the guestroom inventory is sold:

In addition to the revenue
from the unit sales, the 15% of held units and the
remaining commercial hotel operation yield an additional
value. The income statement show earlier was adjusted
for the condominium hotel ownerships for the blended
rooms revenue and shared expenses. The rooms revenue
calculation is set forth in the Table 4:

The developer retains
all of the other revenue and is obligated to pay a
share of the operating expenses. In the following
example, the repairs and maintenance and energy expenses
are share 85% individual owners and 15% developer
while 25% of the administrative and general expenses
are allocated to the individual owners. Property taxes,
insurance, and reserve for replacement are allocated
85% to the individual owners and 15% to the developer.
(Table 5, below)

As reflected in the in
the following table, capitalizing this net operating
income provides roundly 19% more value to the hypothetical
condominium hotel.

The aggregate value of
the project as a condominium hotel far exceeds its
value as an operating hotel.

As seen in the following
chart, this simplistic example shows a roundly 33%
difference in the per-key value, demonstrating why
successful hotel condominium projects appeal to developers.

The value difference
can be considerable, particularly in the distribution
of cash flows to developer. Condo-hotels generate
significant cash flow either during the sales process
or immediately upon completion, depending on state
law.
The developer can pay
down debt from the condo-hotel sales proceeds whereas
the net operating income ramp-up of a new wholly-owned
property would typically have debt-service shortfalls
in the first year or two operations, requiring the
developer to come out of pocket with additional equity.
Successful condo-hotel
projects share distinctive attributes. The projects
are typically located in established destinations
that are easily accessible to the individual-unit
owners. Successful condominium hotel projects need
not be feasible as a traditionally financed hotel,
but must be located in desirable destinations and
designed to the potential buyers.
Joel Greene of Condo
Hotel Center (www.CondoHotelCenter.com),
an established broker of individual condo hotel units,
maintains in his summary of 2006 trends that the most
appropriate buyers of condo hotel units are wealthy
individuals interested in buying a "hassle-free"
vacation home. These buyers would like the rental
proceeds to cover some or all of the costs of ownership
and the property to appreciate, but are not typically
speculators.
Condominium properties
located in such destinations as Cabo San Lucas, Mexico,
parts of Florida, ski resorts, and Hawaii, among others,
continue to attract unit buyers and developers. Well-located
and well-designed properties are expected to be successfully
marketed even as the residential condominium markets
soften.
The purchase of hotel
condominium units by second-home buyers with disposable
income is not driven by the same dynamics as those
of the residential condominium or second-home buyer.
Many buyers are purchasing units with the intent of
using the resort for vacation as well as considering
the property as an endowment for their children. These
buyers have well-funded retirement plans and are not
swayed by short-term residential pricing swings.
With the inherited and
earned wealth currently held by older and retiring
baby boomers, condominium hotel properties in attractive
destination areas can be a more successful development
than a traditional operating resort.
About
the Author: Elaine Sahlins is Senior Vice President
with HVS International's San Francisco, California
office. She holds an undergraduate degree from Barnard
College, Columbia University in New York City and
an MPS degree in Hotel Administration from Cornell
University. After graduating from Cornell she worked
for VMS Realty in Chicago analyzing hotel investments,
and then went on to join Security Pacific in San Francisco,
which was subsequently acquired by Bank of America.
She joined HVS International
in 1987 as a Director in the San Francisco office.
Ms. Sahlins also, with Suzanne Mellen, directs HVS
Gaming Services, and Shared Ownership Services in
the San Francisco office.
Ms. Sahlins may be
contacted at: HVS INTERNATIONAL SAN FRANCISCO 116
New Montgomery Street, Suite 620 San Francisco, CA
94105 (415) 268-0347 tel. (415) 896-0516 fax esahlins@hvsinternational.com
|